Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.031224 0.034278 0.037381 0.040763 0.044339 0.048002 0.052030
2025-08-24 0.025782 0.030178 0.034823 0.040072 0.045813 0.051877 0.058742
2025-08-31 0.022872 0.028318 0.034270 0.041199 0.048986 0.057410 0.067158
2025-09-07 0.020409 0.026620 0.033621 0.041988 0.051611 0.062234 0.074748
2025-09-14 0.018264 0.025029 0.032876 0.042482 0.053758 0.066423 0.081572
2025-09-21 0.016294 0.023434 0.031947 0.042603 0.055349 0.069889 0.087516
2025-09-28 0.015179 0.022763 0.032021 0.043826 0.058165 0.074729 0.095022
2025-10-05 0.013381 0.021064 0.030696 0.043235 0.058722 0.076855 0.099323
2025-10-12 0.012103 0.019925 0.029975 0.043301 0.060002 0.079784 0.104534
2025-10-19 0.011186 0.019189 0.029701 0.043869 0.061853 0.083369 0.110509
2025-10-26 0.010522 0.018745 0.029763 0.044828 0.064167 0.087503 0.117144
2025-11-02 0.008964 0.016898 0.027846 0.043132 0.063066 0.087413 0.118641
2025-11-09 0.007959 0.015797 0.026903 0.042694 0.063569 0.089326 0.122635
2025-11-16 0.007047 0.014758 0.025984 0.042239 0.064016 0.091155 0.126525
2025-11-23 0.006738 0.014642 0.026359 0.043532 0.066740 0.095850 0.133980
2025-11-30 0.006338 0.014342 0.026444 0.044412 0.068917 0.099862 0.140610
2025-12-07 0.005882 0.013907 0.026301 0.044953 0.070636 0.103293 0.146526
2025-12-14 0.005364 0.013320 0.025894 0.045093 0.071801 0.106009 0.151549
2025-12-21 0.005161 0.013267 0.026287 0.046369 0.074497 0.110702 0.159083
2025-12-28 0.004548 0.012412 0.025396 0.045759 0.074607 0.112039 0.162365
2026-01-04 0.004136 0.011888 0.024991 0.045829 0.075628 0.114547 0.167134
2026-01-11 0.003862 0.011604 0.024950 0.046420 0.077357 0.117979 0.173086
2026-01-18 0.003684 0.011496 0.025184 0.047415 0.079651 0.122162 0.180017